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Bitfinex Alpha: Bitcoin May Reach a Low Price in September 2025

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


According to Bitfinex Alpha's report, September 2025 may become a significant cyclical low for Bitcoin. Analysis based on historical data suggests the potential for market recovery in the fourth quarter.

Forecasts for Bitcoin in September 2025

As part of their research, the Bitfinex Alpha team reports that Bitcoin may drop to a level of $93,000–$95,000 in September 2025. An important milestone is also the Short-Term Holder Realised Price set at $108,900.

Current Market State

Currently, there is a decline in prices for major altcoins such as Ethereum and XRP, with trading volumes significantly dropping. The analysis shows a neutral sentiment in the spot market. Institutional demand remains high, but despite this, market conditions are characterized by caution.

Historical Trends and Conclusions

Historically, September is viewed as a low price month for Bitcoin, with the fourth quarter often bringing recovery. Analysts rely on data such as the Cumulative Volume Delta to analyze macroeconomic signals and potential market shifts.

September 2025 is widely regarded as a historically likely month for Bitcoin’s cyclical low, with on-chain and macro market signals pointing to a possible Q4 rebound.Bitfinex Alpha Research Team

In conclusion, the current September may represent a significant point for Bitcoin, and the market could expect recovery in the fourth quarter based on historical trends and macroeconomic factors.

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