According to Bitfinex Alpha's report, September 2025 may become a significant cyclical low for Bitcoin. Analysis based on historical data suggests the potential for market recovery in the fourth quarter.
Forecasts for Bitcoin in September 2025
As part of their research, the Bitfinex Alpha team reports that Bitcoin may drop to a level of $93,000–$95,000 in September 2025. An important milestone is also the Short-Term Holder Realised Price set at $108,900.
Current Market State
Currently, there is a decline in prices for major altcoins such as Ethereum and XRP, with trading volumes significantly dropping. The analysis shows a neutral sentiment in the spot market. Institutional demand remains high, but despite this, market conditions are characterized by caution.
Historical Trends and Conclusions
Historically, September is viewed as a low price month for Bitcoin, with the fourth quarter often bringing recovery. Analysts rely on data such as the Cumulative Volume Delta to analyze macroeconomic signals and potential market shifts.
In conclusion, the current September may represent a significant point for Bitcoin, and the market could expect recovery in the fourth quarter based on historical trends and macroeconomic factors.