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Goldman Sachs: Expectations of Fed Rate Cut Are Overstated

Goldman Sachs: Expectations of Fed Rate Cut Are Overstated

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon commented on speculations regarding possible rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. His views slightly diverge from recent analyst opinions.

Doubts About Aggressive Fed Rate Cut

David Solomon dismissed the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Speaking in an interview with CNBC, he stated, "I don’t think that’s probably on the cards." According to the CME FedWatch Tool, only 7.8% of market participants expect such a deep cut at the Sept. 17 meeting.

Expectations for a Smaller Rate Cut

Solomon believes that the Fed will likely align with broader market expectations, where over 92% of participants anticipate a smaller 25 basis point cut. "I’m pretty confident we’ll have a 25 basis rate cut," he added. He also noted signs of softening in the labor market.

Impact of Fed Decision on Markets

The Fed's decision in September is significant for both traditional and crypto markets. Lower interest rates tend to make safer assets like bonds less attractive, pushing investors toward higher-risk, higher-reward assets such as cryptocurrencies. However, the sentiment platform Santiment recently cautioned that a surge in social media discussions around the Fed’s potential cut could signal excessive euphoria.

Predictions and expectations regarding the actions of the Federal Reserve remain diverse. Despite the optimism surrounding potential rate cuts, expert opinions highlight the need for caution in assessing possible economic impacts.

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