Polymarket reports that the odds for XRP ETF approval in the US have surged to 94%. This reflects increasing investor and trader confidence regarding SEC's decision.
Surge in Market Confidence
The odds for ETF approval did not change overnight. Earlier in 2025, expectations were low, but throughout the year, they steadily increased into the 70-90% range.
SEC Decision Timeline
Optimism is tied to the SEC's regulatory timetable. Several issuers have filed for XRP ETF, with decision deadlines now clustered in October 2025, increasing the likelihood of approval.
Institutional Demand Driving Expectations
The soaring odds are fueled by the expectation that an XRP ETF could attract billions in institutional inflows. Analysts project at least $5 billion in initial trading if approved.
Overall expectations regarding XRP ETF approval are bolstered by growing institutional demand and approaching SEC deadlines. However, final decisions ultimately rest with the regulator.
