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September Fed Rate Cut Probability and Its Impact on Crypto Markets

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


The likelihood of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut in September has climbed to 12% following U.S. jobs data, affecting both traditional and cryptocurrency markets.

Market Speculation and Influences

The odds of a 50 bps September Fed rate cut have climbed to 12% following U.S. jobs data. This speculation, observed through primary market derivatives, has significant implications for crypto asset movements. Financial leaders such as Jerome Powell are at the center of scrutiny. Comments by influencers like Rick Rieder highlight the ongoing debates about the potential policy shift.

Industry and Crypto Market Dynamics

Immediate effects extend across industries, with volatile responses anticipated in both traditional and crypto markets. Interest rate derivatives reveal a 97% probability of a cut. Financial implications center on crypto inflows, as expected rate cuts traditionally favor risk assets.

Impact on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins

The rise in rate cut probabilities impacts Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins. This trend aligns with historical responses to Fed policy changes. Investors anticipate shifts in DeFi token value, with historical data showing that rate cuts often lead to surges in BTC and ETH prices.

Thus, the potential Fed rate cut may act as a catalyst for significant changes in the cryptocurrency markets, fostering increased liquidity and bullish sentiments among investors.

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