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US Labor Market Issues and Investment Forecasts

US Labor Market Issues and Investment Forecasts

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by Giorgi Kostiuk

2 days ago


The situation in the US labor market continues to raise concerns among economists and investors. In August, only 22,000 jobs were added, significantly below forecasts.

Labor Market Challenges

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, only 22,000 jobs were added in August compared to an expected 75,000. The official number of unemployed has risen to 7.4 million, with the unemployment rate increasing from 4.2% to 4.3%. The goods-producing sector lost 25,000 jobs, including 12,000 in manufacturing and 7,000 in construction, raising concerns about the structural weakness of the labor market.

Impact on Investments

The decline in employment in manufacturing and construction, despite an increase in retail hiring, could impact economic growth. Should the trend of increasing part-time employment continue, consumer spending—which makes up around 70% of the US GDP—could be negatively affected. At the same time, inflation at 2.7% may complicate matters.

Potential Prospects

Despite current difficulties, some analysts believe there is room for improvement. The Federal Reserve Chair hinted at possible interest rate cuts, which could enhance credit availability and stimulate economic activity. Additionally, government support may positively influence the housing sector.

In conclusion, while the current labor market poses challenges, investors should consider potential changes in economic policy that could impact the future of the US economy.

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